In 2014, world Gross Domestic Product (GDP) amounted to US$78000 billion. One year later, it had risen to US$80730 billion. In earlier years, countries such as the USA and Germany may have been thought likely to make the biggest contribution to growth in GDP. China represented 20% of the rise in world output in 2015. China is expected to become the largest economy. It is becoming a more powerful rival in several markets. This stronger price competitiveness results from a range of factors, including keeping the exchange rate low, giving subsidies to a number of industries and improving labour productivity. However, in 2015 the Chinese Government was thinking about whether to shrink the country’s steel industry, perhaps by reducing the subsidy it received. Fig. 1 illustrates how the steel market could be influenced by such a change.
Some developed countries have recently been facing difficulties. For instance, Australia has experienced a decline in its economic growth rate. In an attempt to raise domestic economic activity, the Reserve Bank of Australia has lowered interest rates.
The economic growth rates of developing and emerging economies are rising. In Africa, this is partly due to the discovery and use of oil and mineral resources. These countries use different exchange rate systems and have different levels of success in attracting multinational companies. Many African countries use protectionist policies, although some are shifting towards free trade.
In most developing and emerging economies, the birth rate is falling. The effect of this shift depends on how large the decline is. For example, Nauru is one of the smallest countries in the world and has a population of only 10000. Its birth rate dropped from 26 to 25 in 2015.
(a)[2]
Identify two monetary policy measures mentioned in the extract.
(b)[4]
Explain two causes of a fall in the birth rate.
(c(i))[2]
Calculate, using information from the extract, the value in US$ of China’s contribution to global GDP growth in 2015.
(c(ii))[2]
Calculate, using information from the extract, the number of children born in Nauru in 2015.
(d)[5]
Analyse, using a production possibility curve diagram, how the discovery of new oil reserves would affect an economy.
(e)[5]
Discuss whether a firm would gain from a fall in its country’s exchange rate.
(f)[4]
Explain, using information from the extract and Fig. 1, what may have happened to the market for steel in China in 2015.
(g)[6]
Discuss whether taking part in free trade raises living standards in a country.
Worked solution & mark scheme
This 30-mark question has a full step-by-step worked solution and mark scheme. One marking point: “rates of interest” …