Mathematics 9709 · AS & A Level · The Poisson distribution

The Poisson distribution — practice question

Tom and Ben keep playing the game again and again. The chance that Tom wins a single game is 0.3. Every game is won by exactly one of Tom or Ben. They stop once either player, called the champion, has won two games.
(i)[1]

Find the probability that Ben is champion after exactly 2 games.

(ii)[3]

Find the probability that Ben ends up as the champion.

(iii)[4]

Given that Tom has become the champion, find the probability that he won the 2nd game.

Worked solution & mark scheme

This 8-mark question has a full step-by-step worked solution and mark scheme. One marking point: Correct chance $P(B\,champ) = 0.7 \times 0.7$

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